Allen leads Senior PGA by one

Golf Betting Lines

05/23/2009 - Beachwood, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Allen, who is making his first Champions Tour start, carded a three-under 67 Saturday to grab a one-shot lead after three rounds of the 70th Senior PGA Championship.

Allen, a PGA Tour regular who hasn't won since 1998 on the Nationwide Tour, completed 54 holes at three-under-par 207.

Tom Kite and Jeff Sluman both owned a piece of the lead during the third round, but stumbled late. Kite shot a one-under 69, while Sluman managed an even-par 70 as they share second place at minus-two.

Former Masters champion Larry Mize was also in the mix, but was derailed by three bogeys and a double-bogey on the back nine. Mize carded a one-over 71 as he was joined in fourth place at one-under-par 209 by Gil Morgan (70) and Tim Simpson (68).

Second-round leader Ross Drummond faltered to a six-over 76 that dropped him into a share of 16th at plus-two at Canterbury Golf Club.

Allen had a very steady round until catching fire on the back nine. He birdied the second from just over 15 feet out to move to minus-one, but gave that shot back as he bogeyed the ninth after parring six in a row from the third.

The 50-year-old parred the first four holes of the back nine as well. He was four shots back on the 14th, but started to make his move with a seven-foot birdie putt there.

Allen chipped his third to the par-five 15th within two feet and he kicked that in for birdie. He followed with another up-and-down birdie on the par- five 16th to get to three-under.

He parred the final two holes to get into the clubhouse at minus-three and it was good for the 54-hole lead as Sluman, Mize and Kite all stumbled late in their rounds.

"I seem like I'm playing really well on the front nine, but I just can't get any birdies out of it. All the putts seem to lip out," admitted Allen. "My expectations coming in were definitely to be competitive and to win. These guys are great players and they have beat me for a long time, but maybe it is my turn now. I don't know if I'm going to win or not, but I felt like I should definitely be competitive here."

Kite, whose first of 10 Champions Tour wins was a major (the 2000 Tradition), birdied the third and ninth to climb to minus-three and a share of the lead.

The 59-year-old parred the first five holes of the back nine. He moved into the lead at four-under with a two-putt birdie on the par-five 15th. After a par on 16, he missed the par-three 17th well right.

Kite dumped his chip into a bunker, but got up and down for bogey. He also bogeyed the last to end one back.

"I'll tell you what, it's a hard golf course and those last couple of holes are really hard," Kite admitted. "It is a pretty sadistic finish those last couple of holes. But all in all, I really feel like I'm playing well. I really like the way I'm striking the ball and I'm hitting a lot of greens in regulation."

Sluman, the 1988 PGA champion, birdied the second, but faltered to a bogey on the par-four fourth to dip to minus-two. He birdied the ninth to gain a share of the lead at minus-three.

After Kite pushed the lead to four-under, Sluman matched him there with a birdie on the 14th. However, he bogeyed 16 and 18 to drop into a share of second.

"I just have to drive it better. I kind of said the last two days I honestly don't know where it's going off the tee," stated Sluman. "The golf course is in wonderful condition, the type of golf course that if you're driving it well, you love to play, kind of right up my alley. But it's not up anybody's alley when you're kind of wild off the tee."

Joey Sindelar and Bruce Fleisher both posted one-under 69s to move into a share of seventh at even-par 210. They were joined there by Jay Don Blake (71). Fred Funk, Bernhard Langer, Joe Ozaki, Don Pooley, Mark McNulty and Chris Starkjohann are one shot back at plus-one.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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